Weakness in Vegas at MGM Resorts offset by strong second quarter from BetMGM

Weakness in Vegas at MGM Resorts offset by strong second quarter from BetMGM

Summary

MGM Resorts beat analysts’ expectations in Q2 2025 despite a marked slowdown on the Las Vegas Strip. The company posted net revenue of $4.4bn (vs $4.31bn forecast) and earnings per share of $0.79 (consensus $0.58). MGM Grand renovations caused a meaningful hit to Vegas results, while regional operations and MGM China helped lift consolidated performance.

BetMGM — the joint venture with Entain — delivered a strong quarter, with first-half EBITDA of $109m, swinging to profit from a $123m loss in H1 2024. Management credits improved player targeting and analytics, including AI-driven cohort valuation, for better retention and lower reinvestment in low-value customers. BetMGM still trails Fanatics in Q2 market share (6.2% vs 7.6% in 14 analysed states).

MGM is also lobbying to reverse a change in federal gambling tax deductions due to take effect in 2026. MGM China reported record adjusted EBITDAR, driven by growth in the premium-mass segment.

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Source

Source: https://igamingbusiness.com/finance/quarterly-results/mgm-resorts-bolstered-betmgm-q2-2025/

Key Points

  • • MGM reported Q2 net revenue of $4.4bn, beating forecasts of $4.31bn and recording its highest-ever consolidated net revenues.
  • • EPS came in at $0.79, above consensus of $0.58, despite an 11% plunge in Las Vegas visitation in June.
  • • MGM Grand renovations caused a roughly $40m negative impact in H1 and were a major factor in Vegas underperformance; Vegas EBITDAR fell to $711m, down $72m year-on-year for the quarter.
  • • BetMGM swung to profitability with H1 EBITDA of $109m (from a $123m loss in H1 2024), helped by improved player targeting and analytics.
  • • BetMGM is using AI/analytical tools to identify player value earlier, right-size reinvestment and avoid spending on unprofitable cohorts.
  • • Despite gains, BetMGM’s Q2 market share across 14 states was 6.2%, trailing Fanatics at 7.6%.
  • • MGM China posted record adjusted EBITDAR, with growth in the premium-mass customer segment.
  • • MGM executives are lobbying to repeal a federal tax change capping gambling deductions, meeting with lawmakers alongside rivals.

Why should I read this?

Short version: Vegas looked shaky, but BetMGM saved the day this quarter. If you follow casino operators, sports-betting trends or investment signals, this is useful — it shows how digital growth and smarter player analytics can offset brick-and-mortar pain. We read the detail so you don’t have to: the headline is that MGM’s diversified model kept it ahead of estimates, and BetMGM’s move to tighter, AI-led marketing is starting to pay off.

Author’s punchy take

Management kept it tight and blunt — Las Vegas is fine long-term, it just caught a renovation-led cold. The real story is BetMGM becoming a near-term earnings driver: profitable, smarter about reinvestment, and a key part of MGM’s upside. Worth watching if you care about operator strategy or market-share shifts in US sports betting.

Source

Source: https://igamingbusiness.com/finance/quarterly-results/mgm-resorts-bolstered-betmgm-q2-2025/